Predictions for 2015

by Izaak

Predictions for 2015:

  1. The FCC does not classify ISPs as common carriers: 70%
  2. Obama will remain president at the end of 2015: 90%
  3. Google will not announce a self-driving car for widespread sale: 70%
  4. Neither Eric Gardner’s or Mike Brown’s killers will be convicted of any crime related to said killings: 80%
  5. At least one new US State will have same sex marriages made legal: 90%
  6. At least one US State will still prohibit same sex marriage: 60%
  7. No country will manage to secede from another via referendum in 2015: 70%
  8. The US will not fight in any new war with >100 casualties: 90%
  9. North Korea’s government will remain stable: 90%
  10. China’s government will remain stable: 90%
  11. Russia’s government will remain stable: 90%
  12. Hillary Clinton will announce her plan to seek the presidency: 99%
  13. Elizabeth Warren will announce her plan to seek the presidency: 90%
  14. Chris Christie will announce his plan to seek the presidency: 60%
  15. My main tumblr will not have more than 100 followers by the end of 2015: 80%
  16. My side tumblr, nightvalelifehacks.tumblr.com, will have more than 100 followers by the end of 2015: 70%
  17. I will not identify as religious at the end of 2015: 99%
  18. I will continue to identify as genderfluid at the end of 2015: 90%
  19. I will continue to identify as bisexual or > at the end of 2015: 99%
  20. I will not identify as a conservative by the end of 2015: 90%
  21. HPMOR will end by the end of 2015: 80%
  22. There will be no mass killing in the US >15 people: 80%
  23. No crypto currency will have a Bitcoin like success story in 2015: 90%
  24. Snowden will not come back to the US voluntarily in 2015: 80%
  25. No one will develop Turing test compatible AI in 2015, with both a human and AI contestant, and unlimited time: 99%
  26. No nuclear bombs will be detonated as an act of violence: 99%
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